THE HYNEK RATING SYSTEM
-----------------------
As a tribute to Dr. Hynek, I have proposed that his matrix of
Strangeness vs. Probability be effectuated and calibrated as outlined
below, and named "the Hynek Scale" or "the Hynek Rating System" in his
honor.
.
S: Strangeness
The "Strangeness" factor of a case description shall be rated from 1 to
5 as follows:
.
1 - Explained or Explainable
2 - Probably Explainable, with more data
3 - Possibly Explainable, but with elements of strangeness
4 - Strange; Does not conform with known principles
5 - Highly Strange; Definitely indicative of intelligent guidance
.
Examples:
S1 - Aircraft, meteor, etc.
S2 - Experimental aircraft; planet or star
S3 - Slow, low flying objects in formation
S4 - BOL (Ball of Light Phenomena); physical traces
S5 - Close Encounters, Abductions, etc.
.
P: Probability
The "Probability" factor of a case relates to the credibility, number
and separation of witnesses and/or the soundness of evidence gathered.
It shall be rated from 1 to 5 as follows:
.
1 - Not Credible or Sound
2 - Unreliable; Smacks of Hoax
3 - Somewhat credible or indeterminate
4 - Credible; Sound
5 - Highly Credible, leaving almost no doubt
.
Examples:
P1 - Known Hoaxer or UFO "Flake"; Hoax Photo
P2 - Repeat Witness; Conflicting Testimony
P3 - Standard, first-time witness; slight radiation reading
P4 - Multiple witnesses; pilot; clear photo
P5 - National Figure; Multiple independent witnesses; videotape
.
The composite Hynek Rating of a case shall consist of the combined S &
P factors, stated as Sn/Pn, e.g. S3/P5; except that cases with an S
factor of 1 shall simply be stated as S1.
.
Examples using recent or famous cases:
S1 - Wickenburg, AZ, July 10 (explanation:Mars)
S5/P1 - Billy Meier
S2/P5 - X-shaped UFO, Petaluma, CA May 28
S4/P5 - Brazilian "Ping Pong Balls"
S5/P4 - Betty & Barney Hill
S4/P4 - Lubbock Lights
S5/P5 - MedEvac Helicopter ("Coyne" Case)
S3/P2 - Delphos
S4/P2 - Anything published in SAUCER SMEAR
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Discussion:
I believe this rating system will be a useful tool to investigators who
wish to narrow their focus to the most promising cases. It is not my
intention that any one group "stake a claim" to this system; rather,
I'd like to see several groups or investigators rate cases according to
their own view, merely using this system as a standard.
.
The rating of a particular case may, indeed perhaps should, change from time to
time as new evidence is gathered.
.
Your comments are welcome.
.
Jim Speiser
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