The Easlake UFO case (LAKRIEn.UFO) has generated a great deal of
debate and controversy here in the Cleveland area. The following are
downloaded bulletins from FREENET a large, free, local BBS in the
Cleveland, Ohio area. These messages are from the Skepticism SIG.
Anyone interested in participating can do so at (216)368-3888:
---------------------------------------
Date: Thu Apr 7 20:52:04 1988
From: RICHARD P. DELL'AQUILA (ab114)
Subj: EASTLAKE UFO REPORTED BY COAST GUARD
In a reply to a recent question from Dale Wedge, Page Stevens
has mentioned that an unusual UFO event occurring over Lake Erie in
early March was the result of a misidentification of the planets
Jupiter and Venus which appeared close to each other in the night sky.
Page mentioned that a Coast Guard report on the incident "agrees fully"
with the Venus/Jupiter hypothesis. The report has been submitted to an
astronomer for his expert opinion as to whether the Venus/Ju piter
hypothesis adequately explains all th e phenomena described in the
report by the Coast Guard personnel, also reported by at least a half
dozen other independent witnesses. The sightings, which have continued
unabated for the past month, have been reported by several independent
witnesses, one of whom took photographs. The case is being investigated
by Rick Dell'Aquila (ab114) and Dale Wedge (ae511) The document
confirms that members of the Coast Guard saw a group of strange objects
cavorting on and near the i cy surface of L ake Erie. A local
astronomer attempted to explain the sightings as resulting from the
apparent conjunction of Jupiter and Venus in the night sky, coupled
with "spontaneous gas emissions" caused by viewing the conjunction
through the Earth's atmosphere. The incident involves a large
blimp-like object, "larger than the Goodyear blimp," which released up
to a half dozen triangular-shaped lights and objects, in close
proximity to the Perry nuclear powe r plant and Eastlake coal burning
plant, and multiple independent witnesses, apparent animal reactions,
as well as government documents, and hence qualifies for high-
priority. The case is officially classified as a Close Encounter of the
Second Kind.
The Coast Guard report reads as
follows:
COG: INFO COPIES
CPC DCS DGP DPA B M O OLE OSR
9
FP D9AW D9 AW DE FP ISN-FP021 P 051405Z MAR 88 FM COGARD STA FAIRPORT
OH//CO// TO AW/COMCOGARDGRU DETROI T MI//OPS// INFO D9/CCGDNINE
CLEVELAND OH//OSR// BT UNCLAS //N16144// SUBJ: INCIDENT REPORT:
UNIDENTIFIED FLYING OBJECTS 1. UNIDENTIFIABLE FLYING OBJECTS 1/4 MILE
EAST OF CEI POWER PLANT. 2. AT 2035 LCL THIS STATION RCVD A CALL FROM
[Name blanked] RPTNG A LARGE OBJECT HOVERING OVER THE LAKE AND
APPARENTLY ON A SLOW DESCENT. THE OBJECT HAD A WHITE LIGHT AND WAS
APPROX. 1/4 MILE UP. [Blanked] WAS UNABLE TO DETERMINE HOW FAR OUT IT
WAS. THIS UNIT SENT 2 CREWMEM BERS TO INVESTIGATE. BEFORE THEY ARRIVED
O/S, WE RCVD 2 MORE CALLS RPTNG THAT THE OBJECT HAD APPARENTLY DISPERSED
3-5 SMALLER FLYING OBJECTS THAT WERE ZIPPING AROUND RATHER QUICKLY.
THESE OBJECTS HAD RED, GREEN, WHITE AND YELLOW LIGHTS ON THEM THAT
STROBED INTERMITTENTLY. THEY ALSO HAD THE ABILITY TO STOP AND HOVER IN
MID-FLIGHT. WHEN MOBILE 02 GO O/S, THEY RPTD THE SAME ACTIVITY. THEY
WATCHED THE OBJECTS FOR APPROX. 1 HOUR BEFORE RPTNG THAT THE LARGE
OBJECT WAS ALMOST ON THE ICE. THEY RPTD THAT THE ICE WAS CRACKING AND
MOVING AB NORMAL AMOUNTS AS THE OB JECT CAME CLOSER TO IT. THE ICE WAS
RUMBLING AND THE OBJECT LIT MULTI-COLOR LIGHTS AT EACH END AS IT
APPARENTLY LANDED. THE ;LIGHTS ON IT WENT OUT MOMENTARILY AND THEN CAME
ON AGAIN. THEY WENT OUT AGAIN AND THE RUMBLING STOPPED AND THE ICE
STOPPED MOVING. THE SMALLER OBJECTS BEGAN HOVERING IN THE AREA WHERE THE
LARGE OBJECT LANDED AND AFTER A FEW MINUTES THEY BEGAN FLYING AROUND
AGAIN. MOBILE 02 RPTD THAT THEY APPEARED TO BE SCOUTING THE AREA. MOBILE
02 RPTD THAT 1 OBJECT WAS MOVING TOWARD THEM AT A HIGH SPEED AND LOW TO
THE ICE. MOBILE 02 BACKED DOWN THE HILL THEY HAD BEEN ON AND WHEN THEY
WENT BACK TO THE HILL, THE OBJECT WAS GONE. THEY RPTD THAT THE OBJECTS
COULD NOT BE SEEN IF THEY TURNED OFF THERE LIGHTS. ONE OF THE SMALL
OBJECTS TURNED ON A SPOTLIGHT WHERE THE LARGE OBJECT HAD BEEN BUT MOBILE
02 COULD NOT SEE ANYTHING, AND THEN THE OBJECT SEEMED TO DISAPPEAR.
ANOTHER OBJECT APPROACHED MOBILE 02 APPROX. 500 YDS. OFFSHORE ABOUT 20
FT. ABOVE THE ICE, AND IT BEGAN MOV ING CLOSER AS MOBILE 02 BEGAN
FLASHING ITS HEADLIGHTS, THEN IT MOVED OFF TO THE WEST. 3. THE
CREWMEMBERS WERE UNABLE TO IDENTIFY ANY OF THE OBJECTS USING BINOCULARS
AND AFTER CONTACTING LOCAL POLICE AND AIRPORTS, THIS UNIT WAS UNABLE TO
IDENTIFY THE OBJECTS, AND RECALLED MOBILE 02. BT TOR-03:05:14:44
The Coast Guard report for the following evening suggests that
the Coast Guard had misidentified the planets Jupiter and Venus. I ask
the astronomers on this board, skeptical or otherwise, for their
opinions as to the adequacy of the Venus/ Jupiter hypothesis in light
of this report. Page, I ask you whether the foregoing report "fully
agrees" with the Venus/Jupiter hypothesis, and also whether you believe
that these Coast Guard personnel, experts in their own way and no doubt
familiar with the night sky and celestial navigation, could have so
grossly misidentified the planets for several hours.
---------------------------------------
---------------------------------------
Date: Sat Apr 9 20:10:44 19 88
From: RICHARD P. DELL'AQUILA (ab114)
Subj: THE "SKEPTIC's" MINDSET - RPD
In 1895, the philosopher William James commented as follows on the
views of contemporary "skeptics" among his Harvard colleagues. His
comments remain pertinent:
"There is included in human nature an ingrained naturalism and
materialism of mind which can only admit facts that are tangible. Of
this sort of mind the entity called "Science" is the idol. Fondness
for the word "scientist" is one of the note s by which you may know its
votaries; and its short way of killing any opinion that it disbelieves
in is to call it "unscientific." It must be granted that there is no
slight excuse for this. Science has made such glorious leaps in the
last 300 years...that it is no wonder if the worshippers of Science
lose their heads. In this very University, accordingly, I have heard
more than one teacher say that all the fundamental conceptions of truth
have already found by Sci ence, and that the future has only the det
ails of the picture to fill in. But the slightest reflection on the
real conditions will suffice to show how barbaric such notions are.
They show such a lack of scientific imagination that it is hard to see
how one who is actively advancing any part of Science can make a
statement so crude. Think how many absolutely new scientific
conceptions have arisen in our generation, how many new problems have
been formulated that were nev er thought of before, and then cast an
eye upon the brevity of Scienc e's career. Is this credible that such
a mushroom knowledge, such a growth overnight as this, CAN represent
more than the minutest glimpse of what the universe will really prove
to be when adequately understood? No! Our Science is but a drop, our
ignorance a sea. Whatever else be certain, this at least is certain:
that the world of our present natural knowledge IS enveloped in a
larger world of some sort, of whose residual properties we at present
can frame no positi ve idea."
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Date: Sun
Apr 10 13:44:26 1988
From: NICK SANDULEAK (aa346)
Subj: "THE EASTLAKE UFO"
During the first week of last month the very bright planets Venus
and Jupiter were positioned very close together in the western sky for
several hours after sunset.As has happened many times in the past,this
resulted in many people calling the newspapers,TV stations,the
astronomy dept. at CWRU,etc. to repor t these objects as UFOs. In an
April 7 listing on this bulletin board,Rick Dell'Aquila gives the text
of a U.S.Coast Guard report (dated March 4) which he suggests can not
be explained as resulting from a misidentifi- cation of these
planets.Although it contains an account of multi- colored,noctural
lights cavorting about and landing on the Lake Erie ice,this report is
devoid of the most important observation- al details which one expects
from highly trained observers.What was their exact location at t he
time of these observations?Given that location,what were the
approximate azimuth and altitude of these lights? Since the shoreline
at Fairport Harbor runs almost NE-SW,saying that the lights are out
over the lake means that they could lie anywhere from SW to NE as seen
from near the lakeshore. Given this lack of detail,it is rather
suggestive that the CG people observed the bright light to "land" on
the ice at about the same time that Venus set i.e. went below the
horizon that evening.Nowhere in the report do the CG people say that
they saw the UFOs in addition to Venus and Jupiter i.e. if this display
took place low in the western sky,one might expect them to have
compared the brightness and positions of the UFOs relative to these
planets.It is therefore most likely that they were indeed observing
these planets only. Because Venus was very low in the sky,the
multi-color effects reported could result from atmospheric
scintillation.The PD reporter apparently misunderstood this phenomenon
and used the phrase "spontaneous gaseous emissions" which of c ourse is
non- sense. It is my understanding that a UFO sighting can only be
assigned to the CE II category if it leaves behind some form of
physical evidence,e.g. a burned patch of grass,etc.I suppose this
report is being given CE II status because of the reported sound of the
lake ice cracking under the weight of the landed UFO.A more likely
explanation for that aspect of this event is the arrival of Spring.
--------------------------------------- -
-------------------------------------- Date: Mon Apr 1 1 18:34:25 1988
From: DALE B. WEDGE (ae511) Subj: The Eastlake UFO:DBW
In regard
to Mr. Sanduleak's upload, perhaps it is time to
explain that we ALL
are aware that Venus and Jupiter were in
the western portion of the sky
that evening. After the sight-
ing, Dell'Aquila and Wedge went out to
the sight and did sight
these planets in the western sky. We even took
some calcu-
latiions as to the location of the planets at the times
that
witnesses were see ing the objects over the lake. From
our
determination, we can state that the objects that were seen
over the
Lake were not Venus and Jupiter. The witnesses that
evening knew where
the planets were. The subject who reported
the objects was travelling
EAST and was facing east when the
objects were seen to her left, the
northern portion of the
sky, near the residence.
In regards to the
Coast Guard, Mr. Sanduleak must only be
reading the report of the
second evening. It would seem that
anyone being involved in the Coast
Guard would have a b asic
knowledge of the skies above us, since it is
a tool that they
use to navigate the seas. I would also doubt that
Coast
Guard personnel would mistake Venus and Jupiter as the
culprit
being behind objects being seen to be approximately 500
yards
offshore about 20 feet above the ice. I have never known
the
planets to do this. If you go to the sight of the incident,
there
is no west to look at on the ice, since it is obscured
by the Eastlake
Coal Burning power plant. From the repor ts,
of on-scene witnesses
with the C oast Guard personnel, the
sightings were north or overhead
of the witnesses for the first
portion of the sighting. After that,
the objects descended
from overhead and came down on the ice. The
witnesses, who
have been living at that location for some time,
stated
that they have never noticed an ice breakage likke the one
that
was observed that evening. To prove the object wasn't to
the
west, refer to the report when it is stated that the objects
were
500 yards offshore about 20 feet about th e ice, and began
to move
closer as headlights were flashed. At that time,
then it moved to the
west, therefore, if something was in
the west, being obscured by the
power plant, it couldn't have
been west and then turn west. There is
another amazing facet
to this story, and that is that after this
sighting, an indepen-
dent witness took a picture of the triangular
shaped object,
which we have the negative to. The object in the
picture fits
the description made by the witnesses at the scene of
the
encounter.
Lastly, because we ensure secrecy of witnesses, it
is
unfortunate that the Coast Guard will not allow us to inter-
view
the Coast Guard personnel that were at the scene that
evening. Who has
something to hide? Is it Sanduleak that is
frightened of a real
incident or is the Coast Guard frightened
that they have given the
smoking gun that could open up the
paper trail on a real
phenomenon?
Dale
---------------------------------------
---------------------------------------
Date: Mon Apr 11
21:47:08 1988
From: RIC HARD P. DELL'AQUILA (ab114)
Subj: TO THE
ASTRONOMERS RE: EASTLAKE UFO
AN OPEN LETTER TO THE PROFESSIONAL
SKEPTICS, RE: UFO SIGHTING
OVER LAKE ERIE OVER THE WEEKEND OF MARCH 4,
1988
It is understandable that a professional in any occupation
will have a reputation to preserve among his or her peers, and that
the desire to maintain that professional reputation will sometimes
require the professional to defend indefensable positions (e.g.
"C.Y.A.") from which he canno t otherwise extricate h imself. It's
okay guys, I understand. You put out the Venus/Jupiter hypothesis
before the Coast Guard report was released and now you are stuck with
it for better or worse. I suspect that, being the professionals you
are, and given the natural curiosity which is the sine quo non of of
the true scientist, your real opinions are very different than those
you publicly express.
Anyway, for the rest of us who remain
willing to fairly
examine ALL the reported phenomena and express our
true opinio ns, it
is now apparent that the professional skeptics on
this SIG have so
commmitted themselves to their position that the
Eastlake UFO
sighting of March 1988 was a misidentification of the
planets, that
it is almost laughable to expect any thinking
individual, who has
read the Coast Guard report of the sighting, to
accept the
Venus/Jupiter hypothesis. Frankly, a more honest response
would have
been a simple, "I don't know what the Coast Guard saw that
night for
3-4 hours, it could have been Venus/ Jupiter."
But at
least you had the fortitude to respond. It is
important that the
subject of UFOs be discussed openly without
emotionalism or hysterics.
After all, we are free to disagree,
hopefully in a civil manner. I
suppose yours is at least a more
straightforward approach than that
taken by the sysop of another
Freenet SIG who, after inviting UFO
discussion, has elected to erase
all UFO uploads from his SIG and who,
when all else fails, res orts to
name-calling as a rhetorical device.
W ell, taking your toys home
when you lose the game is a rather
immature way to deal with
confrontation. Doctor, take an example from
the skeptics on this SIG,
bravely sticking to their guns--going down
with their ship, flags
waving--but proudly, stubbornly, sticking to
their guns to the bitter
end. "Solution: Venus/Jupiter" period.
Guys: You are the experts. People look to you for answers.
If you
teach, your students rely on you for accuracy. When you
publish,
other experts rely on your ob je ctivity and clarity of
analysis. Yet
you ask us to accept the Venus/Jupiter hypothesis
primarily because
you have put it forward as the "truth." Now that
the professional
skeptics have made their final pronouncement, I
trust you will permit
me to raise a few minor details, tie up some
loose ends and send along
you ways to comfortably bury our heads back
in the sand again until
the next time the planets start releasing
strobing multi-colored
triagular UFOs 20 feet ove r the surface of
Lake Erie that cross
distances of several miles in a few seconds,
cast spotlights, and
scare the wits out of U.S. military personnel
for several hours. At
least when the next UFO comes along, the handy-
dandy Venus/Jupiter
explanation (or something similar) will be ready
to go.
By the
way, what an insult to the Coast Guard. Apparently,
according to the
skeptical "experts", their men are not capable of
distinguishing the
planets in the night sky--eve n after several hours
of observation.
Fair enough, but don 't expect any Christmas cards
from the Coast
Guard, guys! (No loss--they probably can't write
either.)
At
any rate, at least you haven't run away and hid when things
got a
little rough. You proud graduates of the Phil Klass School of
Skeptical Technique have recognized that the first requirement of a
skeptic is to remain skeptical: to sift through the evidence, only
emphasizing those facts that can be made to support your hypothesis
and ignoring the "meaningless residue" for purposes of cla rity.
However, the a priori assumption with which you approach this
particular subject (i.e. "UFOs do not represent any phenomena which
cannot be explained in prosaic terms.") renders your resulting
opinions on the matter largely irrelevant. Although your credentials
as Skeptics remain firmly intact, be honest enough to admit you
cannot adequately explain ALL aspects of the sighting. Don't push
sophistry.
I respectfully suggest that the Venus/Jupiter
hypothesis is a
professional embarassment to you, since it completely
ignores the
observed phenomena and fails to explain how the Coast
Guard personnel
could have been so grossly fooled by known celestial
objects. Guys,
it's okay to admit you just "don't know" what was over
Lake Erie that
night. That diploma over your desk doesn't make you a
vending
machine--you don't have to dispense a Pepsi every time someone
drops
in their change and pulls your
handle.
---------------------------------------
-
--------------------------------------
Date : Tue Apr 12 10:42:09
1988
From: NEIL GOULD (aa330)
Subj: Re: Eastlake UFO report - Neil
Well, I personally find the report of the sighting from the
Coast
Guard to be rather interesting. As has been suggested in
the last
upload ( ASTRONOMERS..UFO ), I haven't the foggiest
idea what they
were looking at.
At the same time, what was observed doesn't necesarily
imply
the existance of extraterrestrials, either. While I agree that
the report does make me rathe r skeptical that the observers
were
looking at Jupiter/Venus, it is important to recognize
that we live in
an age of mistrust, secrecy, and undercover
operations as a way of
life.
UFO means exactly: "UNIDENTIFIED Flying Object". Given the
objectives of our military; stealth aircraft, jets that can fly
in
unusual deflections from a given course, and so forth, there
could be
some terrestrial explanations as well.
Yes, in my opinion, the sighting
report may qualify as a UFO
sighting. But to go any further than that
without empirical
ev idence w ould be difficult to support.
To be
objective about this will require time. Time to absorb
and compare,
as well as to verify and test the accuracy of
these reports. But
without a way to repeat the event,
conclusions will be hard to come
by.
Perhaps that is the real reason there isn't a lot of chatter
about these things?
- Neil
---------------------------------------
---------------------------------------
Date: Tue Apr 12 11:42:08 1988
From: RICHARD P. DELL'AQUILA
(ab114)
Subj: Neil Hits the Ma rk--RPD
COPY OF LETTER TO DR.
LAMBE
Since Dr. Lambe, moderator of the SF Reviewers' SIG has seen fit
to delete all reference to UFOs from his board, I am uploading
this
copy of the beginning portion of a rather lengthy upload to
the SF
OPEN Forum Board. (Apparently Dr. Lambe has concluded
that his OPEN
Forum was to be closed to matters pertaining to
Ufology. Thankfully,
Page has not come to a similar conclusion.
Dear Dr. Lambe:
Thank you for your letter c oncerning your opinions on
UFO s, but I
believe you are operating under a misperception.
I do not presume to
know what UFOs ARE, because I really don't
know; but the evidence does
establish beyond a reasonable doubt
that they are not ALL
misperceptions or hoaxes. Indeed, the
reports that stem from
IDENTIFIABLE sources do not, obviously,
fit the definition of an
UNIDENTIFIED Flying Object.
UFOs have been reported by entirely
competent witnesses
whose sightings have been corroborated by other
independent
witnesses and instr umentation, such as radar. To make
the a
priori assumption that all UFOs are the result of misperceptions
of known objects or phenomena simply misses the mark. I can
therefore only conclude that you have not adequately informed
yourself on the subject. With all due respect to your opinion,
I am
uploading this reply to the Science Fiction SIG, as you
suggested, and
I hope it will generate additional discusssion of
the subject. In the
end, it is only by thorough rev iew,
discussion and a legitimate
scientific inquiry into UFOs that
any answers will be found.
In 1895, the philosopher William James berated his
scientific
colleagues at Harvard University, saying "They show
such a lack of
scientific imagination that it is hard to see how
one who is actively
advancing any part of Science can [say that]
all the fundamental
conceptions of truth have already been found
by Science. Think how
many absolutely new scientific
conc eptions have arisen in our
generation...Is this credible
that suc h a mushroom of knowledge, such
a growth overnight as
this, CAN represent more than the minutest
glimpse of what the
universe will really prove to be when adequately
understood? NO!
Our Science is but a drop, our ignorance a sea..."
Almost a century later, James has been fully vindicated by
discoverys
such as relativity, quantum mechanics, and associated
new concepts
that overturned the previous scintific "truths."
Our scientific
knowledge continues to gr ow exponentially.
The focus of you r
reply seems to be that UFOs do not exist
as such, but your opinion is
based on a false assumption. The
issue of UFO existence cannot be
dismissed on the basis of any
such a priori assumption, but must be
premised upon
investigation. The evidence to date indicates that UFOs
are
phenomena not completely understood by our present Science, but
which fall into one or several of the following categories:
1.
Undiscovered space/time distortions or manipulations
that
conform to the laws of physics, but require
extraordinary
explanations;
2. Undiscovered space/time distortions or
manipulations
that conform to undiscovered laws of physics;
3. Nonphysical products of individual or group mental
action, conforming to known and unknown psychological
principles, or
4. Something other than any of the above.
( ETC. )
In reviewing the recent upload by Neil, I believ his
approach most accurately "hits the mark." We don 't KNOW what
UFOs
are or will prove to be. We can make some educated guesses
to explain
all the many credible reports, and the
extraterrestrial hypothesis is
only one among many of the
possible
alternatives.
---------------------------------------
---------------------------------------
Date: Thu Apr 14 12:41:51 1988
From: PAGE STEPHENS (aa325)
Subj: TO RICK D: PAGE
Rick,
I rarely get mad about an upload, and I appreciate what both you
and Dale u
pload to this bulletin board and in fact I have to ld Dale
that as far
as I am concerned I consider him to be the person who is
the UFO expert
on the SIG because he invariably uploads all the
information he has at
hand so that people who read his uploads can
make their own decision as
to what side of the argument they choose
to take.
And I also regard
you as a reasonable person because I know you
are able to interpret the
data even though we might come to different
conclusions.
I was
therefore disappointed by the upload in which you made ad
hominem
attack s on both Nick Sanduleak and myself because I think
they were
unwarranted.
All either Nick or I ask is that everyone look at the
evidence and
make their own decision about what it says.
Neither of us,
unless you consider all scientists to be skeptics
is a "professional
skeptic," and indeed I don't know what that term
might mean because as
far as I am concerned a "professional" is a person
who makes his living
by doing what he does, and I don't know of any
skeptic who does this.
Even James Randi, alt hough h e also makes
some money from his
skeptical lectures, is basically a professional
entertainer.
In Nick
and my own case I doubt if either of us has made a total of
$200.00 in
the past five years by lecturing on skeptical topics, and while
Phil
Klass has published a few books on the subject of UFOs I doubt
if he
has been paid any more than a few cents on the hour for the work
he has
done.
I suspect the reason Nick, Randi, Phil, Paul Kurtz and myself
spend
our time investigating cl aims of the paranormal is simi lar to
the
reason you spend your free time investigating UFOs, because we want
to
discover what is really going on even though for our efforts
we
normally receive one hell of a lot more abuse than we do praise.
A few
years ago a friend of mine was even criticized by the
administration
of the university for which he was working for wasting
his time
investigating anomalous phenomena.
So please don't give me any
more nonsense about "professional s keptics,"
because if they exist I
don't know who they are. And in fact I would
argue that Von Daniken has
made more money from his books than all
the skeptics combined have from
theirs, and unless you want me to
lump you together with him and others
of his ilk, ie. people who
misrepresent the evidence in their books,
let's drop this
suvject.
Page
---------------------------------------
---------------------------------------
Date: Thu Apr 14 15:06:45 1988
From: STEVE HILLIARD (aa331)
Subj: reply to Dell Aquila
Since skepticism is
not a profession, I assume y ou are
realy talking about scientists when
you say professional skeptic.
As a scientist, I can't help resenting
that. I also resent your
statement that scientists are afraid to
express their true
opinions in public, and are not willing to examine
ALL the
reported phenomena and express their true opinions.
It is obvious that you don't understand the nature of
science at all
when you state that we put forward a hypothesis
as "truth." A
hypothesis is an educated guess b ased upon the
observations. I t is
something we throw out to be tested for
validity. Hypotheses that
are not tested or hypotheses that can
not be tested are no good at all.
We keep a very open mind when
we test our hypotheses, in fact, the way
we go about testing
our hypotheses is to do everything we can think of
to prove them
false! It is only after everyone who wants to has tried
to
prove it false that we say that a hypothesis has any validity.
You are forget ting about the psychological nature of
human beings when
you say that the Venus/Jupiter hypothesis
completely ignores the
observed phenomena and fails to explain
how the Coast Guard personnel
could have been so grossly fooled
by known celestial objects. People
can be fooled by a lot less
than celestial objects. Let me tell you my
own true experience
with a UFO. Last September I was driving down
Bagley road in
the afternoon during a rain storm. The sun came out
behind me
but there were large black storm clowds in front of me. All
of
a sudden a gold colored sauce r shaped UFO came out of the
cloud in
front of me at a high rate of speed directly toward
my car. I was so
sure that it was going to hit me that I hit
my brakes and ducked my
head. But before I ducked, I saw a
lot of detail. I saw windows around
the rim of the saucer
with light coming out of them. I saw creatures
and other
objects inside the saucer through the windows. When I
looked
up, it was gone! I was dumbfounded. I didn't know what to do.
I
was absolutely certain that I had seen an alien ship of some
kind. I
started going over the details of it in my mind and
I became even more
certain of what I had seen. This wasn't
some planet or ball lightning
it had been the real thing.
About a quarter mile up the road I turned
off Bagley into
the park to collect my thoughts. I looked of my window
into the pouring rain and saw three men setting off fireworks.
I
looked up at the firewords and realized that what I had
ks and realized
that what I had
realy s een was fireworks exploding against the dark
cloud.
If I had not turned into the park and seen the
fireworks, I would have always believed that I had seen a real
UFO and
no one would have been able to change my mind with
mere reason and
logic. Don't you think that there is a
possibility at least that the
Coast Guard personnel may
have had a similar experience to mine?
Please try and keep an open mind about these
things.
---------------------------------------
---------------------------------------
Date: Thu Apr 14 18:10:11 1988
Fro
m: KEN KOPIN (ac077)
Sub j: UFO's
I would like to bring up a
point
for discussion. Now, if I make
any errors in assumptions,
or
facts, PLEASE jump on them! I wish
to be accurate...
There are
probably lots and lots
of reported UFO sightings in the
USA every year.
There are also
a bunch of satalights up there that
do nothing but look
down at us,
looking for, well, whatever...
Now, wouldn't you think
that the
Govt would occasionally be looking
at an area at the same time
a
UFO was sighted? If so, the n why not
either corobor ate (SP!) or
shoot-down
the UFO sighting? (Not the UFO!)
Either, the govt already
knows what
it is (Secret plane, Aliens, whatever)
and doesn't really
want to talk
about it, or... What?
<*> Ken Kopin
<*>
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Date: Thu Apr 14 19:14:24 1988
From: RICHARD P. DELL'AQUILA (ab114)
Subj: To Page & Steve Re: EASTLAKE UFO-RPD
Dear Page and Steve:
I regret any misinterpretation caused by the term
"prof essional
skeptic," by which I mean that those who have
responded to date
concerning the Eastlake UFO have professional
backgrounds at least
tangentially applicable to investigation of
the subject. Steve, I
don't know what you saw or how long you
saw it, but clearly, the Coast
Guard was not watching bottle
rockets on March 4, 1988. Page, you
know that I have made my
feelings clear in the past concerning the
name-calling that has
for so long pla gued the subject of UFOs and I
will have no part
in it. Frankly, I was hoping to get some "hot"
responses to my
upload, although I certainly expected them to be based
on other
portions of what was said, not what I considered a rather
benign
term.
For the last several days, we have been
concentrating on
our disagreements concerning the Eastlake UFO case.
I would now
like to direct the focus of the debate to those aspects of
the
case on which we can find some agreement.
1. The
report of the Coast Guard was made by on-
duty p ersonnel
dispatched to the sighting area. It can
be presumed that these
are competent individuals without
apparent motive to falsify a
report that would cause them
embarassment or worse.
2. The report, taken at face value, contains
features which
suggest something other than a
conventional aircraft or
meteorological/astronomical
origin for the report.
3. Positions have bee n advanced by the
scientific "experts"
which do not adequately address ALL
the features of the report,
when taken at face value.
4. The primary Coast Guard
report is supported
by civilian reports of the phenomena
observed within the
same time-frame on the same night by
witnesses who did
not and do not know each other and who were
separated by
several miles from each other at the time of
observation.
5. These reports are also supported by
photographic evidence.
6. The phenomena have stirred a great deal of
emotion and scientific controversy on this SIG and others
on Freenet.
7. Therefore, the present status of the
controversy is summarized as follows: Either (a) the
reports accurately describe the events witnessed by the
Coast Guard and the civilian witnesses or (b) the
reports are the product of a hoax, or mass delusion or
illusion of some sort.
Clearly, the night sky is fi
many objects that
can confuse. Humans tend to explain unknown phenomena first in
terms of something familiar. In the case of the Eastlake UFO,
it was first thought by the Coast Guard personnel on the beach
that night that the "Canadians" were conducting illegal military
maneuvers inside U.S. waters, or that a satellite was "in
trouble" of some sort. When these interpretations failed to
match up with the phenomena observed, the objects came to be
regarded as something unknown. Significant
no time did
the Coast Guard personnel believe they were watching a star or
planet of some sort, although this argument was much later
advanced as the solution. The Coast Guard personnel refused to
speculate further with regard to the true nature of the UFOs
they observed that night. They were frightened and behaved in a
defensive manner, hardly a reasonbable response to ordinary
astronomical objects.
Our legal system is premised upon the assumption that,
within certain restrictions,
bservation and testimony can
be regarded as factual. Certain well-established rules exist to
test the credibility of witnesses and their testimony. Among
these are reputation, motivation, consistency with other
established facts, recency, multiplicity and independence of
witnesses, multiple methods of observation, etc. Applying these
tests to the Eastlake UFO case, the case stands up better than
many cases which have been won in courts of law across this
country.
Scientists are huma
They have been wrong before
and they will be wrong again. The responses to the results of
our investigation which Dale and I have received from the
"experts" on this board go beyond mere sympathy for the
ignorant. Rather, their attitude concerning UFOs has been
militantly negative. We recognize that there is precedent for
this response and it was not unanticipated, although it is
unfortunate.
For example, those scientific "experts" who KNEW Jupiter
had no moons simply refused to eve
hrough Galileo's
telescope. In the few hundred years before the 19th century,
established science did not BELIEVE stones could fall from the
sky, and so they pronounced this an impossibility. The
skeptical "experts" on this board do not BELIEVE that UFOs
constitute any empirically new phenomena they cannot explain in
prosaic terms, and therefore, they have determined that UFOs are
not phenomena worthy of serious scientific inquiry.
Being human, scientists behave in accordance with the
principles of human motivation as everyone else.
Established scientific beliefs are, to a certain degree, just
that: a belief system which resists inconsistent phenomena in
the same way a religious practitioner resists challenges to his
religious beliefs.
This resistance can take the form of avoidance or denial
of evidence inconsistent with the established belief system or
illogical arguments advanced by scientists who may be otherwise
objective and analytically precise in their prof
l
opinions. A prime example on Freenet of the first approach, is
the regrettable avoidance response of Dr. Lambe, who has seen
fit to simply delete all reference to UFOs from the Science
Fiction SIG OPEN Forum after inviting UFO debate. An example of
the second response is the illogical Venus/Jupiter hypothesis
pronounced by the others as the final solution to the UFO
reported over Lake Erie the weekend of March 4, 1988.
Another typical response to challenges to an established
beli
m is to ridicule those who challenge the beliefs
held (e.g. "These 'wackos' have made a foolish error in
observation, or are suffering from a delusion or illusion of
some sort"). If the physical scientists are correct that the
basis of the reports is in the observers, rather than anything
physically observed, then the internal consistency of the
independently witnessed observations with regard to the Eastlake
UFO case requires that the behavioral scientists reconsider the
validity of their o
ef system. The issue then becomes
one for the psychologists to somehow explain the methodology by
which several independent, credible witnesses, separated by
miles from each other, could all have been fooled at the same
time in exactly the same way.
But the problem with passing the buck to the
psychologists is that they have their own equally strong belief
system. So back and forth the argument will go, each side
pointing at the other, claiming that the other side must change
its
Rome burns while Nero fiddles; but where does all
this leave the rest of humanity? Where is the needle in this
haystack? At a minimum, we can reasonably conclude that both
sides cannot BOTH be correct.
The vehemance with which established physical science,
typified by the Skeptics on this board, opposes the validity of
UFO evidence, in and of itself, is suggestive that there is
something of substance to the reports. The reported phenomena
in the Eastlake case are so internally cons
across the
testimony of several independent witnesses, geographically
separated from each other and further supported by photographic
evidence, that it is virtually impossible that it is premised
upon any random delusion, illusion or hoax. It remains that the
observed phenomena were indeed a manifestation of physical
stimuli, as reported by the witnesses. We therefore can only
conclude that the Skeptics and physical scientists are incorrect
in their assessment of this case.
The sta
ur knowledge of UFOs to date, typified by
the Eastlake case, establishes that UFOs indeed constitute
genuinely new empirical observation(s) which physical science
cannot or will not adequately confront. This failure to fairly
confront the evidence is due to the fact that serious scientific
examination of the observed phenomena implicitly requires that
established scientific belief systems must be reconsidered and
possibly altered (dread) to provide basic new explanations,
concepts and scient
ws capable of explaining UFOs. This
is analagous to asking the Pope to convert to Atheism.
Rick
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